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The_Jaded_One comments on Happy Petrov Day - Less Wrong Discussion
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But I would like to know whether he averted a 1% chance of disaster or a 50% chance or an 80% chance.
I mean would the leadership launch in response to being told that ONE missile had been fired? Were they complete retards?
Looking at the relevant US experience, very likely.
Still, having an insecure PAL code is not the same as pressing what is effectively a 20-minute delayed suicide button based upon the most obvious of false alarms.
Note that the Americans did have the insecure code and the Russians did not press the button X-D