Lumifer comments on Open thread, Sep. 28 - Oct. 4, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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There are a lot of decade-scale cycles that pump heat energy around the earth system, making it pile up more rapidly in the atmosphere than the deep hydrosphere or vice versa, and various other similar things . Patterns at timescales shorter than a decade or so are almost meaningless as a result.
That certainly wasn't what global-warming people were saying at the end of 1990s.