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Romashka comments on Donna Capsella and the four applicants, pt.1 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I'll try to rewrite it in a sufficiently specified way (right now I don't have an idea how). They can't make totally unclear predictions, or Burr is not going to collect enough points. Oriss is going to lose points after the third round. Burr will try to 'screw around', guessing that one parent is AaBb, and will not get or lose any points for it, although he will stay in the game.