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shminux comments on [Link] Tetlock on the power of precise predictions to counter political polarization - Less Wrong Discussion

6 Post author: Stefan_Schubert 04 October 2015 03:19PM

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Comment author: shminux 04 October 2015 04:54:28PM -1 points [-]

There are plenty of issues where "precise predictions" are available, yet the polarization is as bad as ever, such as drugs, birth control, gun control and taxes. So no, facts are no match for ideology.

Comment author: ChristianKl 04 October 2015 07:45:44PM 7 points [-]

There are plenty of issues where "precise predictions" are available, yet the polarization is as bad as ever, such as drugs, birth control, gun control and taxes.

The fact that statistics exist doesn't mean that "precise predictions exist". It especially doesn't mean that stakeholders in the debate engage in the action of engaging in prediction making.

Comment author: Lumifer 05 October 2015 03:07:33PM 2 points [-]

What kind of contextually-relevant "precise predictions" are there for e.g. gun control? Or taxes?

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