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Gunnar_Zarncke comments on Stupid questions thread, October 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Superstitions seem to sprint from biases and as these are basically reasoning heuristics they are conceptually plausible but missed. Google for "biase superstition heuristics".
One hit: https://deisidaimon.files.wordpress.com/2008/01/trond-bounded-rationality-biases-and-superstitions.ppt