You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

AlexMennen comments on Pascal's Mugging, Finite or Unbounded Resources? - Less Wrong Discussion

-1 Post author: Irgy 15 October 2015 04:01AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (26)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Lumifer 15 October 2015 04:17:16PM 2 points [-]

Sure. Pascal's Mugging is not a "fully general counterargument" to anything sensible. It is one of multiple problems which come up when you are trying to shut up and multiply on the basis of a too-simple model which doesn't work in reality outside of toy examples.

Saying "there are multiple problems with (probability x utility) calculations" DOES imply that discarding this approach might be helpful.

Comment author: AlexMennen 15 October 2015 07:33:11PM 1 point [-]

Multiplying probability with utility is central to classical decision theory, and Pascal's mugging is not a problem for it. Pascal's mugging only becomes a problem when you make certain strong assumptions about the shape of the utility function.