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jacob_cannell comments on [Link]: KIC 8462852, aka WTF star, "the most mysterious star in our galaxy", ETI candidate, etc. - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: jacob_cannell 20 October 2015 01:10AM

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Comment author: jacob_cannell 20 October 2015 06:21:45AM 18 points [-]

The probability that any specific observation is caused by aliens is so heavily influenced by priors/models that it's more interesting to consider conditionals such as P(aliens caused WTF | aliens exist) or P(WTF observations | aliens caused WTF).