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passive_fist comments on [Link] Study: no big filter, we're just too early - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: polymathwannabe 21 October 2015 01:13PM

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Comment author: passive_fist 23 October 2015 01:14:28AM 8 points [-]

So, if you assume that extraterrestrial life would have lifespans grossly similar to terrestrial lifespans, we ought to remain unvisited.

Human beings spread all over the globe on foot 75000-15000 years ago, despite the fact that no single human probably walked all the way from Africa to Australia. It's a fairly trivial assumption that an expanding interstellar civilization would not be limited by the lifespan of its inhabitants.

The galaxy may be big, but it is very small compared to the time-scales involved here. At walking pace (~5 km/h), you could travel 61 light years during the time from when the milky way formed up to now. At speeds easily achievable using chemical propulsion (~15 km/s), you could travel the circumference of the milky way --- twice!