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Lukas_Gloor comments on The Triumph of Humanity Chart - Less Wrong Discussion

23 Post author: Dias 26 October 2015 01:41AM

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Comment author: Lukas_Gloor 26 October 2015 12:47:36PM *  -1 points [-]

The developments you highlight are impressive indeed. But you're making it sound as though everyone should agree with your normative judgments. You imply that doubling extreme poverty would be a good thing if it comes with a doubling of the rest of the population. This view is not uncontroversial and many EAs would disagree with it. Please respect that other people will disagree with your value judgments.

Comment author: Dagon 26 October 2015 03:44:43PM 7 points [-]

I think he's showing the opposite. The first graph does imply what you say. The second graph shows that EVEN if we look at number of people in extreme poverty as an absolute, rather than a ratio, we've been making steady progress since 1971 and are now below 1820 levels of poverty.

It's not judgement-free, as nothing on this topic can or should be. However, it's showing that the positive results are robust to multiple dimensions that people are likely to judge on.

To be specific: what normative judgement do you prefer for which this graph is misleading? Or are you saying "there are important things not covered in either graph", which is true of pretty much any such summary.

Comment author: Lukas_Gloor 26 October 2015 06:33:22PM *  1 point [-]

I'm referring to the text, not the graph(s). The two paragraphs between the graphs imply

that doubling extreme poverty would be a good thing if it comes with a doubling of the rest of the population.

He does not preface any of it by saying "I think", he just presents it as obvious. Well, I know for a fact that there are many people who self-identify as rationalists to whom this is not obvious at all. It also alienates me that people here, according to the karma distributions, don't seem to get my point.

Comment author: Dagon 27 October 2015 12:19:40AM *  2 points [-]

I sympathize with the feeling of alienation and confusion when something valuable gets downvoted.I try not to learn too much from small karma amounts - there's enough inconsistency in what different groups of readers seem to want that it's easier to post mostly for my own amusement.

I don't agree that it's all that controversial that "copy an overall-positive-value population distribution" is positive. The second half of the repugnant conclusion (that adjusting satisfaction toward the average is non-negative) is somewhat disputed, but wasn't suggested here.

I also don't think that was the post's main point, so even if I disagreed, I'd be sure to call out that I agree with his main point and only want to clarify this side-implication.

Comment author: Lumifer 26 October 2015 06:55:35PM 3 points [-]

It also alienates me

And does that oblige anyone to do anything?

Comment author: ChristianKl 26 October 2015 08:07:52PM 2 points [-]

It also alienates me that people here, according to the karma distributions, don't seem to get my point.

Reading "implyed" claims into an article and then disagreeing with the claims you believe are implied is frequently not something that's good karma wise.

I also see no disrespect by Dias that warrents to call him to "please respect..."

Comment author: Luke_A_Somers 26 October 2015 11:12:40PM 2 points [-]

You imply that doubling extreme poverty would be a good thing if it comes with a doubling of the rest of the population.

Kind of? The point of the second plot is to show that we didn't get where we are in fractional terms by murdering the poor, which would be bad, I think, regardless of whether one holds that doubling the overall population is good or bad. And if we got where we are in fractional terms by adding rich people without actually cutting into the number of poor people, that would be bad too, though not as bad as murdering them.

Of course, the plots can't show that we didn't grow the rich population while also killing the poor, but, well, that's not what happened either.

Comment author: Lukas_Gloor 26 October 2015 11:46:26PM -2 points [-]

I at one point phrased it "comes with a doubling of the (larger) rest of the population" to make it more clear, but deleted it for a reason I have no introspective access to.

And if we got where we are in fractional terms by adding rich people without actually cutting into the number of poor people, that would be bad too, though not as bad as murdering them.

It would, obviously, if there are better alternatives. In consequentialism, everything where you have better viable alternatives is bad to some extent. What I meant is: If the only way to double the rest of the population is by also doubling the part that's in extreme poverty, then the OP's values implies that it would be a good thing. I'm not saying this view is crazy, I'm just saying that creating the impression that it's some sort of LW-consensus is mistaken. And in a latter point I added that it makes me, and probably also other people with different values, feel unwelcome. It's bad for an open dialogue on values.