= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Jiro comments on Updating on hypotheticals - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (21)
This is another case of Goodhart's Law. If you update your priors based on being asked about A->B, people can take advantage of that fact, which changes whether it is a good idea to update your prior on being asked about A->B.
That wasn't quite the argument. It was that you should update when asked about A->B if it looked like there prima facie appeared a solid argument for it, even if you were sure it had a flaw somewhere. So it was never automatic.