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OrphanWilde comments on [Link] A rational response to the Paris attacks and ISIS - Less Wrong Discussion

-1 Post author: Gleb_Tsipursky 23 November 2015 01:47AM

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Comment author: OrphanWilde 23 November 2015 02:47:56PM 12 points [-]

What terrorists want is irrelevant. "Don't play into enemy hands" is irrelevant. The entire discussion is irrelevant.

The correct response to enemy action is the response that furthers your own ends. It doesn't matter what effect this has on your enemy, good, neutral, or positive; your long-term ends matter.

"The primary thing when you take a sword in your hands is your intention to cut the enemy, whatever the means. Whenever you parry, hit, spring, strike or touch the enemy's cutting sword, you must cut the enemy in the same movement. It is essential to attain this." A particularly relevant quote from Musashi, used by Eliezer on at least one occasion in the sequences.

Avoiding doing what the enemy wants is mere parrying. Stop mere parrying, and cut.

Comment author: Viliam 23 November 2015 08:50:59PM *  7 points [-]

The correct response to enemy action is the response that furthers your own ends.

If you are a rational player, then you were already doing that before the enemy action. So the correct response is to keep doing what you were already doing.

(Of course you also update on the enemy action, and maybe this could change your strategy. However, I don't think there is much to update on now. The fact that ISIS has a few suicidal volunteers is not new.)

Comment author: James_Miller 25 November 2015 12:24:48AM 4 points [-]

We should update on ISIS having an increased desire to attack Western cities.

Comment author: Lumifer 25 November 2015 03:30:16AM 0 points [-]

...and do what?

Comment author: James_Miller 25 November 2015 04:53:02AM 4 points [-]

Put more resources into fighting ISIS.

Comment author: Lumifer 25 November 2015 05:11:43AM *  2 points [-]

Oh, you mean the, ahem, leaders of the free world should update. I s'pose. I'm not used to thinking of "we" as "me and Obama".

Comment author: OrphanWilde 23 November 2015 09:27:53PM 0 points [-]

This makes me want a super-upvote, that subtracts four karma to award five. Yes, this, exactly.

Comment author: gjm 25 November 2015 12:10:35AM *  5 points [-]

I have just given you 25% of what you want by upvoting Viliam's comment and downvoting yours.

[EDITED to add:] I would not otherwise have voted either comment up or down.

Comment author: OrphanWilde 25 November 2015 04:26:02PM 0 points [-]

I appreciate it! (No, seriously.)

Comment author: Gleb_Tsipursky 24 November 2015 09:51:05PM 1 point [-]

Yup, very much agreed with OrphanWilde on this one.

Comment author: Gleb_Tsipursky 24 November 2015 09:51:18PM 0 points [-]

Yes, this, exactly this!

Comment author: Lumifer 23 November 2015 04:05:21PM *  5 points [-]

Stop mere parrying, and cut.

There is an interesting argument that the Western countries have lost the capability. Europe leads the way and the US is now following it.

Comment author: Val 24 November 2015 03:25:05PM *  4 points [-]

Not the capability in a technical sense, but the will. Not offending the Muslims who arrived in the last few decades seems to be of much higher importance to many politicians, than anything else.

Comment author: Lumifer 24 November 2015 03:54:45PM 4 points [-]

Not the capability in a technical sense, but the will.

Yes. Notice the important part in the quote in the grandparent post: "the primary thing is ... your intention to cut the enemy".

Comment author: VoiceOfRa 23 November 2015 11:55:11PM 2 points [-]

There is an interesting argument that the Western countries have lost the capability.

So, figure out why that is and fix it. I suspect a large part of the problem is pseudo-rationalists like Gleb arguing that "fighting terrorists is playing into their hands".

Comment author: Lumifer 24 November 2015 01:01:11AM *  4 points [-]

So, figure out why that is and fix it.

LOL. How about this: you go tell Cthulhu he's swimming the wrong way, and I stay here and watch X-)

Comment author: Gleb_Tsipursky 24 November 2015 09:49:33PM 1 point [-]

Very much agreed. As I say in the op-ed:

Recent research shows that after any emotionally powerful event, in politics or private life, our brains tend to assign too much weight to that event, compared with what is really important to us. This thinking error is called attentional bias. To fight this thinking error, we should consider what are our actual long-term goals and how to achieve them in the best possible manner.

Comment author: artemium 29 November 2015 06:25:21AM *  0 points [-]

We would first have to agree on what "cutting the enemy" would actually mean. I think liberal response would be keeping our society inclusive, secular and multicultural at all costs. If that is the case than avoiding certain failure modes like becoming intolerant militaristic societies and starting unnecessary wars could be considered as successful cuts against potential worse world-states.

Now that is liberal perspective, there are alternatives, off course.

Comment author: RichardKennaway 29 November 2015 02:12:31PM 5 points [-]

at all costs

Nobody who says "at all costs" means "at all costs". It's a way of avoiding a discussion of what costs are worth paying and what paying them will look like.

Comment author: SanguineEmpiricist 28 November 2015 02:40:22AM *  1 point [-]

Thank god I've seen someone else that thinks this! I was so infuriated by people saying "stop playing into their hands" as if this is supposed to be some silver bullet in this discussion.