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casebash comments on Mark Manson and Rationality - Less Wrong Discussion

4 Post author: casebash 25 November 2015 03:34AM

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Comment author: ChristianKl 25 November 2015 10:09:14AM 10 points [-]

His “thin-slicing” process boasts a staggering 91% success rate in predicting whether newly-wed couples will divorce within 10 years — a staggeringly high result for any psychological research.

Yes, reading such a "staggeringly high result" like that should make you feel conned.

See one of our favorite Bayesians on Gottman.

Comment author: casebash 26 November 2015 12:52:06AM 1 point [-]

Thanks, I probably should have been more suspicious of this.

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