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Fluttershy comments on Estimate the Cost of Immortality - Less Wrong Discussion

-4 Post author: Algernoq 13 December 2015 11:38AM

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Comment author: Fluttershy 13 December 2015 01:19:40PM 9 points [-]

How much money would it take to engineer biological immortality for at least half of the world's population, within 20 years, with 99% confidence?

More than the entire world's GDP.

Really, though, 99 % confidence is too big of a number to be throwing around when we're talking about problems that are this hard to solve. Also, things like "how is the money being spent" matter a lot, too.

Comment author: Fluttershy 13 December 2015 01:43:51PM 3 points [-]

I do want anti-aging research to work. It's just that even a 2% chance that there's a sufficiently difficult short-term roadblock to engineering anti-aging tech would guarantee that no amount of resources could spur us to engineer biological immortality for that many people with 99% confidence in the next 20 years.