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ChristianKl comments on [Link]Rationalization is Superior to Rationality - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (13)
Let's not forget base rates. It is easier to find hundred people willing to do rationalization than one person willing to do LW-style rationality; even among the scientists. Therefore the former will produce more total output.
I don't think the argument is based on the amount of people who succeed with LW-style rationality.
Andrew Gelman is the other of an important book on Bayesian statistics and therefore worthy to be listened to when he says that people draw the wrong conclusions from Bayesianism.