niceguyanon comments on Open Thread, Dec. 28 - Jan. 3, 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I know about scoring rules and probability assessments. Email me and we'll set up a time to talk.
Similar to Viliam in a sibling comment, I think that this is the sort of idea that would work in the ideal world but not the real world. To channel Hanson, "Consulting is not about advice," and thus a product that seeks to disrupt consulting by providing superior advice will simply fail. (Compare to MetaMed, which tried to disrupt medicine by providing superior diagnostics. Medicine is not about healing!)
This is something that I would be interested in reading, so I think I found the link in case anyone else is interested.
Side story, I once did a case study phone interview with a consulting firm, using a real world example of one of their clients, a major credit card company. They were tasked with finding ways to increase revenue. Without any background information I gave them a bunch of wacky out of the box and on the spot answers. I asked them what the real answer was.
The answer? Need more customers. That's 500k over the course of a month for 6 MBAs. But the client gets a 30 page PDF with words on it documenting their finds so shrug
That link goes to lesswrong.com... is there another link?
Here are some articles from Overcoming Bias that seem relevant:
Some quotes:
Thanks, these are really helpful!