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Slider comments on Open Thread, January 4-10, 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: polymathwannabe 04 January 2016 01:06PM

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Comment author: Slider 07 January 2016 09:15:45PM -2 points [-]

Thus our knowledge on people being noisy means the mean is illdefined instead of inaccurate.

Comment author: IlyaShpitser 07 January 2016 09:16:40PM 0 points [-]

Sorry, what?

Comment author: Slider 07 January 2016 09:26:32PM -2 points [-]

having unanimous tesitimony means that the gaussian is too narrow to be the results of noisy testimonies. So either they gave absolutely accurate testimonies or they did something else than testify. Having them all agree raises more doubt on that everyone was trying to deliver justice than their ability to deliver it. If a jury answers a "guilty or not guilty" verdict with "banana" it sure ain't a result of a valid justice process. Too certasin results are effectively as good as "banana" verdicts. If our assumtions about the process hold they should not happen.