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Manfred comments on Open Thread, January 11-17, 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I'm sure someone else can answer this better, but it sounds like you're asking for "empirical work," but aren't willing to explain why you're unsatisfied with the empirical work that you can find by searching websites like GiveWell and 80000 Hours.
I actually just forget to recheck those sources. It's happened with one of my recent posts too. I suppose it's just a habit I ought to pay more attention to. Though, it could be missing from 80k too.