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V_V comments on [Link] AlphaGo: Mastering the ancient game of Go with Machine Learning - Less Wrong Discussion

14 Post author: ESRogs 27 January 2016 09:04PM

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Comment author: IlyaShpitser 28 January 2016 03:46:07PM *  2 points [-]

I actually think self-driving cars are more interesting than strong go playing programs (but they don't worry me much either).

I guess I am not sure why I should pay attention to EY's opinion on this. I do ML-type stuff for a living. Does EY have an unusual track record for predicting anything? All I see is a long tail of vaguely silly things he says online that he later renounces (e.g. "ignore stuff EY_2004 said"). To be clear: moving away from bad opinions is great! That is not what the issue is.


edit: In general I think LW really really doesn't listen to experts enough (I don't even mean myself, I just mean the sensible Bayesian thing to do is to just go with expert opinion prior on almost everything.) EY et al. take great pains to try to move people away from that behavior, talking about how the world is mad, about civiliational inadequacy, etc. In other words, don't trust experts, they are crazy anyways.

Comment author: V_V 28 January 2016 04:45:58PM 1 point [-]

I actually think self-driving cars are more interesting than strong go playing programs (but they don't worry me much either).

My thoughts exactly.