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polymathwannabe comments on What's wrong with this picture? - Less Wrong Discussion

15 Post author: CronoDAS 28 January 2016 01:30PM

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Comment author: polymathwannabe 28 January 2016 02:53:15PM -1 points [-]

Bob is lumping all events of low probability in the same category, without distinguishing between "not too likely, but still could happen someday" and "ridiculously unlikely, why are you even considering it" events.

Comment author: entirelyuseless 28 January 2016 03:47:49PM 4 points [-]

The issue here is not different degrees of probability, but the probability of the testimony.