_rpd comments on The AI That Pretends To Be Human - Less Wrong Discussion
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I mean, the ability to estimate the abilities of superintelligences appears to be an aspect of reliable Vingean reflection.
Or we could ask these AI to create the scale. We could use also its size to estimate power, like number on neurons. But real test needs to be powerful as well as universal optimization problem, something like ability to crack complex encryption or Go game.
I created a list of steps or milestones of the future AI and we could use similar list to estimate level of current super AI.
5a Self-improving threshold. AI becomes able to self-improve independently and quicker than all humanity 5b Consciousness and qualia threshold. AI is able not only pass Turing test in all cases, but has experiences and has understanding why and what it is.
Mankind-level AI. AI possessing intelligence comparable to that of the whole mankind. 2040-2100
AI with the intelligence 10 – 100 times bigger than that of the whole mankind. It will be able to solve problems of aging, cancer, solar system exploration, nanorobots building, and radical improvement of life of all people. 2050-2100
Jupiter brain – huge AI using the entire planet’s mass for calculations. It can reconstruct dead people, create complex simulations of the past, and dispatch von Neumann probes. 2100-3000
Galactic kardashov level 3 AI. Several million years from now.
All-Universe AI. Several billion years from now