I'd like to see people have a clue what a probability actually is.
Heh. It isn't that simple.
What precisely does "There is a 70% chance of rain tomorrow" mean?
What precisely does "There is a 70% chance of rain tomorrow" mean?
If you offered me the choice of two "lottery tickets", one of which paid $30 if it rained tomorrow and one of which paid $70 if it didn't, I wouldn't care which one I took.
Alternatively, what single concept from statistics would most improve people's interpretations of popular news and daily life events?