= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Lumifer comments on If there was one element of statistical literacy that you could magically implant in every head, what would it be? - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d){kind=logo}
Comments (67)
"Probability of appreciable rainfall" * "fraction of specified area which will receive it" is 0.7.
Or, I guess more properly it should be an integral over possible rainfall patterns. But "70% of London will definitely see lots of rain, and 30% will see none" and "we have 70% credence that all of London will see lots of rain, and 30% credence that no rain will fall in London" would both be reported as 70% chance of rain in London.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_of_precipitation
And what does that mean?