You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

Simon79 comments on If there was one element of statistical literacy that you could magically implant in every head, what would it be? - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: enfascination 22 February 2016 07:53PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (67)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: HungryHobo 23 February 2016 11:08:35AM *  6 points [-]

The very basics of probability. I'm talking to the level of "there is about a 1 in 6 chance of a reasonably fair dice coming up 3 on a single roll"

I remember a friend telling me about a game some of his classmates played which was basically about calling high/low on the next card dealt.

He'd made a modest and steady income simply calling based on whether it was greater or less than 7 for the first few cards and he was known as being "lucky". They honestly couldn't comprehend something as simple as that.

Comment author: Simon79 25 February 2016 03:54:13PM 2 points [-]

Absolutely. Not to mention all the "after a string of red, black is more likely" people....and there are a lot out there

Comment author: Lumifer 25 February 2016 04:33:09PM 3 points [-]

"after a string of red, black is more likely" people

Happens to be true for sampling from a finite set without replacement :-P

Comment author: Simon79 25 February 2016 04:40:22PM 2 points [-]

You got me ;-) I should have specified "at the roulette".....I'm new here, still have to get used to you guys