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James_Miller comments on Open Thread Feb 29 - March 6, 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion

4 Post author: Elo 28 February 2016 10:11PM

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Comment author: James_Miller 28 February 2016 10:24:04PM *  7 points [-]

I have been thinking a lot about Trump and I would like to start a discussion thread on him but I recognize that this would obviously violate LW's implicit rule against discussing politics so I thought I would run a poll to see if I have permission.

Should we have a discussion thread on Trump?

Update: I won't be starting a Trump thread because of these poll results.

Submitting...

Comment author: Vaniver 29 February 2016 02:07:00PM 19 points [-]

Would doing so Make Less Wrong Great Again?

Comment author: ChristianKl 29 February 2016 08:05:47AM 9 points [-]

I think Omnilibrium is a better place for those discussions.

Comment author: MrMind 29 February 2016 08:19:21AM 2 points [-]

Exactly. I voted 'no' because Omnilibrium is far more apt, and still quite high in quality of the Discussion.

Comment author: Evan_Gaensbauer 01 March 2016 03:28:34AM 4 points [-]

As someone who voted yes, and currently seeing how the margin is 32 'yays' (52%) to 29 'nays' (48%), I don't think you should start this discussion simply because there is a majority in favour of a discussion thread on Trump. I mean, I wouldn't like to see 48% of users put off by this discussion. So, I think it's safe to say the discussions should really only start if you get a supermajority, something like 2/3rds in favor of starting the discussion. If that's not the case whenever you decide the poll is closed, I don't think it's worth the costs of hosting the discussion here.

I thus agree with ChristianKI to move the discussion to Omnilibrium.

Comment author: James_Miller 01 March 2016 05:46:26AM 2 points [-]

I agree.

Comment author: Elo 29 February 2016 08:53:54AM 2 points [-]

presently the scores are close to tied with 23 votes. (ROT13 of the current score (guvegrra lrf naq gra ab)) If the tie continues I would encourage you to not post it.

Comment author: Lumifer 28 February 2016 11:41:52PM 4 points [-]

What is this asking for permission via a poll thing?

Make a thread and watch its karma. It will tell you all you need to know.

Comment author: TheAltar 29 February 2016 07:10:41PM 2 points [-]

In the past I've seen people suggest that a controversial topic/thread should have been brought up in a poll beforehand instead of just posting it outright. James_Miller seems to be following the suggested convention.

Comment author: Viliam 29 February 2016 08:34:47AM 6 points [-]

What is this asking for permission via a poll thing?

It's called politeness.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 01 March 2016 09:36:00AM 7 points [-]

I find it strange, and counter to my own values, that telling people "shut up, I don't want to hear what you want to talk about" is considered "polite", while talking about what you want to talk about, without asking permission first, is considered rude.

Comment author: Viliam 01 March 2016 01:44:50PM *  4 points [-]

It's about the defaults. The problem with political debates is that it is difficult to contain them -- they are likely to grow (because for almost any topic you can find a political point of view), and they attract new people who are interested more in promoting a political idea than about improving their own rationality.

So we can either explicitly support the norm "we don't debate politics (unless there is an exception)", or we can either explicitly or implicitly have the norm "political debates are okay". We have the former.

Maybe there are other possible solutions, such as trying to contain politics in specific threads, this was tried in the past (if I remember correctly, some people kept making more and more treads for debating NR pretending to be general political threads; or maybe it was other way round and all general political threads were hijacked to debate NR).

In theory, it should be possible to debate politics rationally, but in practice, we have problems keeping the debates civilized.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 02 March 2016 08:58:48AM 4 points [-]

they are likely to grow

And having more to talk about is a problem how?

some people kept making more and more treads for debating NR pretending to be general political threads

NR? Neoreaction?

If you have Neoreactionary views, your general politics will naturally be Neoreactionary. So some people wanted to talk about it. Why is that a problem?

When I see a thread that I don't want to read, I don't. It doesn't cause me any problem.

In theory, it should be possible to debate politics rationally, but in practice, we have problems keeping the debates civilized.

Wouldn't that be a significant opportunity to get LessWrong?

Comment author: Viliam 04 March 2016 03:35:12PM *  2 points [-]

Sorry for yesterday, I'll try to post a more coherent reply now.

.

Once in a while someone accuses Less Wrong of having a specific political bias and being intolerant towards the dissidents. The alleged political bias depends on who made the accusation. For example, neoreactionaries believe that Less Wrong is politically correct and left-wing; they would probably use the word "demotist", which pretty much means anyone who is not a neoreactionary. Meanwhile, RationalWiki (an "Atheism+" website) believes that Less Wrong contains "cringe-inducing discussions of the merits of racism", and the supposedly "non-political" debates in reality promote libertarianism and neoreaction.

Looking at the 2014 survey results, Less Wrong members identify mostly as Social Democratic, Liberal, Libertarian, approximately in equal numbers.

Can this result be interpreted as a unified political bias? I don't know. Maybe yes. Maybe there is an idea of society that most Less Wrong members would approve of -- I imagine something like: universal basic income, universal healthcare, minimal government required to provide security and the basic income, freedom for entrepreneurs, freedom of sexual expression and identity -- while they may disagree on some technical details (such as affirmative action: yes or no) and mostly on which label is most appropriate for this idea. Or maybe I am completely wrong here.

If we map this to the traditional American politics (Democrats vs Republicans), Democrats would obviously win, cca 4:1. But this shouldn't be surprising, considering that Less Wrong is an openly atheist website (Republicans associate with religion) and that half of members are non-American (Republicans associate with American jingoism, which non-Americans have no reason to share). Correcting for these two factors, I think the ratio is pretty much what we should expect.

My conclusion (which anyone is free to disagree with) is that the accusations of political bias more or less express frustration "why don't these people all agree with me? they said they were rational, and rational people are supposed to agree with me! are they suggesting that I am stupid?" (exaggerated for easier comprehension).

.

How to debate politics on Less Wrong without getting caught in the affective spirals? Let me quote:

On a more serious note: cut up your Great Thingy into smaller independent ideas, and treat them as independent.

For instance a marxist would cut up Marx's Great Thingy into a theory of value of labour, a theory of the political relations between classes, a theory of wages, a theory on the ultimate political state of mankind. Then each of them should be assessed independently, and the truth or falsity of one should not halo on the others. If we can do that, we should be safe from the spiral, as each theory is too narrow to start a spiral on its own.

Same thing for every other Great Thingy out there.

Specifically for neoreaction this means that "neoreaction" is a wrong topic for a debate. (However, "tell me why do you identify as a neoreactionary" can be interesting; probably the most productive LW thread on this topic.) The best approach would be to taboo "neoreaction" (and all other political labels), choose one object-level belief and debate that. Of course this presupposes that someone could compile a list of specific object-level beliefs in simple language without links to the other beliefs (and no, "Cthulhu always swims left" is neither specific nor transparent). Then we could debate the individual beliefs, and perhaps agree on some and disagree on others; and maybe we could find out that some of those beliefs are actually not unique for neoreaction.

(And then there is the issue that people who would disagree with some neoreactionary beliefs would soon find that the karma of their comments written years ago have overnight dropped to -1. Which will require some technical changes in voting mechanism to fix, there is no other way.)

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 05 March 2016 07:17:18PM 1 point [-]

The best approach would be to taboo "neoreaction"

Um, you were the one who first brought up that term in this discussion. In fact, the only reason we're having this meta-debate is because a bunch of people didn't want to have an object-level discussion about Donald Trump.

Comment author: Lumifer 04 March 2016 04:16:08PM 1 point [-]

The best approach would be to taboo "neoreaction" (and all other political labels), choose one object-level belief and debate that.

Right. And let me quote from a post (again):

Neoreaction defines itself more in in terms of what it is opposed to than in terms of what it is in favor of.

Fine. So what is neoreaction against?

Democracy.

Neoreaction is the political philosophy that says that democracy is not merely the well-meaning god that happened to fail, but that our current wreckage was predetermined, because democracy fatally intertwined with progressivism since its birth, that it is a tool of progressivism, and that therefore, for a society to accept democracy is for a society to accept its inevitable doom at the hands of progressivism.

So at issue is democracy. Given this, with respect to that belief, it's easy to see how LW is politically unified. In fact, doubting democracy is pretty much outside of Overton window (that's part of what makes neoreaction interesting).

Comment author: Viliam 04 March 2016 10:13:30PM 0 points [-]

Not sure how many neoreactionaries actually agree with that definition. But anyway...

So the belief is that societies that (1) accept democracy (2) will inevitably (3) meet their progressivism-caused doom.

(1) We would need a working definition of "democracy". Specifically, what about countries like USSR or Burma or North Korea that nominally have elections, but the winner is reliably known in advance. Do they also count as "democracies" for the purpose of our belief; that is, does even half-assed pretext of democracy inevitably bring the doom? Or do we need people to participate in real elections? What if the elections are real, but most media are in hands of a few rich owners, and most voters believe the media?

I am asking this to avoid rationalizations from hindsight, like: "Singapore seems to be doing pretty well despite being a democracy -- nah, they are a democracy only in name, it's actually People's Action Party ruling since 1959"; "North Korea seems like hell -- well, they do have elections, so this is an example of a democracy that already met its doom".

(2) The word "inevitably" actually doesn't predict any specific outcome, because if the prophesied thing didn't happen, you can always add "...yet". Could it be made a bit more specific? For example, do countries with a lot of democracy meet their doom faster, on average, than countries with only little democracy? (For example, should we expect Switzerland to meet their doom sooner than North Korea?)

Comment author: Lumifer 07 March 2016 04:35:23PM 1 point [-]

I am not a neoreactionary, so you'll have to find somebody else to argue their side -- shouldn't be a problem, since you mentioned that they can't shut up :-P

However I'll explain why I find their ideology interesting. The thing is, in contemporary political discourse in the West democracy became a sacred cow. One could talk about better or worse implementations, point out issues with specific governments or policies, etc. but the notion that democracy is the best and you should always try to have as much of it as possible seems to be sanctified, enshrined, and maybe even embalmed :-)

And that is a bit of a problem. It's a problem mostly because democracy (even in an idealized state) is not perfect and has systemic faults and shortcomings. Discussing those is... difficult because of the sacred-cow status of democracy. Trying to mitigate and ameliorate them is also difficult because that usually involves something other than "moar democracy!" and publicly suggesting it can be less than wise.

Note that debates about the merits of democracy were common in the XVIII and XIX century, but are almost extinct now (again: in the West. Asia is quite different in that respect).

And me, I don't like blinders but I do like sacred-cow steaks :-)

Comment author: buybuydandavis 05 March 2016 12:38:27PM 0 points [-]

My conclusion (which anyone is free to disagree with) is that the accusations of political bias more or less express frustration "why don't these people all agree with me?

My objections are not about having bias, but enacting a bias institutionally and through social pressures to shut up people you disagree with.

That impulse to shut others up by power and pressure has a marked tendency to go in one direction.

Your projection of "why don't these people all agree with me?" sounds ridiculous to me. Can you point to a few discussions where NR folks were shocked, just shocked, that there was someone in the world that disagreed with them? I'd think that they're probably well used to that by now. I wouldn't expect them to be shocked.

I'll share my conclusion. In many circles, the Left is accustomed to being able to proselytize their ideology while silencing Unbelievers. LW has a rare density of Libertarian leaning people, who generally aren't the types to sit silently and assent. Failing to ideologically bully, the Left resorted to pressure to just not talk about politics, which achieves the main goal of silencing the Unbelievers.

LessWrong is not supposed to be a claim, but a goal. We have all sorts of wrong ideas that we share and mutually critique on our path to becoming LessWrong. But for politics, no go. More important to shut up those heretical ideas than actually get LessWrong about them.

they said they were rational, and rational people are supposed to agree with me!

No. The desire to speak, and the desire to be free to speak without being pressured to shut up, is not the demand or expectation that everyone agree.

The best approach would be to taboo "neoreaction"

Yeah, the best approach is to UnIdea "neoreaction".

As for your suggested LWSpeak dictionary for political speech, that's conveniently another method of control. You can't use these symbols. You can't talk this way.

How about instead we criticize each other's ideas if we want, and don't criticize them if we don't?

Comment author: Viliam 06 March 2016 01:31:52PM *  1 point [-]

Yeah, the best approach is to UnIdea "neoreaction". As for your suggested LWSpeak dictionary for political speech, that's conveniently another method of control. You can't use these symbols. You can't talk this way.

I guess you have read something about "professing and cheering", "applause lights", "affective spirals", "rationalist taboo", "anticipated experiences", and "replacing symbols with substance". Political debates are not a separate magisterium. Neoreaction is not a separate magisterium within politics.

If your belief has the ambitions to describe the territory, you should be able to describe the same thing without using the shibboleths. A marxist could transform "capitalists exploit workers" into "people who control resources can achieve transactions disadvantageous in long term to people who must participate in transactions with them in order to survive". A libertarian could transform "free markets lead to progress" into "when interactions between people are free of coercion, people are more likely to fully use their creativity". A theist could transform "homosexuality is a sin" into "if you live in a universe with an omnipotent being who infinitely punishes people for sexual relationships with people of the same sex, it is prudent to avoid such relationships".

But if your beliefs are merely cheering for your team, or if the words you use are merely mysterious formless substances, you cannot transform them. Or if your beliefs are wrong (do not match the territory), unpacking the keywords can make the wrongness more obvious. Refusing to unpack your keywords means that on some level you already know that it wouldn't end well. Just say loudly: "countries with a lot of democracy, such as Switzerland, have lower quality of life than countries with no democracy, such as North Korea, because democracy makes people selfishly destroy the society, while a dictator will optimize for long-term prosperity" if that happens to be your belief with the symbols replaced by the corresponding substance.

LW has a rare density of Libertarian leaning people, who generally aren't the types to sit silently and assent. Failing to ideologically bully, the Left resorted to pressure to just not talk about politics, which achieves the main goal of silencing the Unbelievers.

Reality check: is Eliezer supposed to be that leftist bully who oppresses the rare libertarians at LW? I'm asking because he wrote the articles about anticipated experiences, tabooing words, affective spirals, et cetera. Do you perhaps believe that the techniques described in the Sequences are merely a clever ploy to oppress heretics?

Because to me it seems like you simply refuse to apply some general techniques to a specific set of beliefs... for pretty much the same reason why a theist would object against using an Occam's Razor to religion.

Comment author: username2 06 March 2016 02:43:52PM 1 point [-]

I'll share my conclusion. In many circles, the Left is accustomed to being able to proselytize their ideology while silencing Unbelievers. LW has a rare density of Libertarian leaning people, who generally aren't the types to sit silently and assent. Failing to ideologically bully, the Left resorted to pressure to just not talk about politics, which achieves the main goal of silencing the Unbelievers.

According to LW census liberals and social democrats make up about two thirds of the whole population. If anything, the fact that talk about politics is discouraged here is good for ideological minorities, such as conservatives, communists or neoreactionaries, because there are plenty interesting LW topics that are unrelated to politics. A few years ago people understood that.

How about instead we criticize each other's ideas if we want, and don't criticize them if we don't?

Discussing specific ideas one by one is different from discussing vague blobs of ideas that have a lot of connotations. The first one is much more productive than the second, because in the second case people tend to constantly move the goalposts and usė motte and bailey tactics. Discussion of specific mechanisms how elections may lead to outcomes that are contrary to the interest of population is different than discussing a vague blob of ideas that contain people as different as Moldbug's techno-commercialists and religious traditionalists who have basically nothing in common. For any neorectionary proposal there is another idea that is almost an opposite. You can't discuss it unless you specify exactly which ideas you are discussing. That is what tabooing the word "neoreaction" means. Discuss ideas that are specific and concrete, ideas that have empirical content, not some kind of vague symbols.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 07 March 2016 02:04:42AM *  1 point [-]

According to LW census liberals and social democrats make up about two thirds of the whole population.If anything, the fact that talk about politics is discouraged here is good for ideological minorities, such as conservatives, communists or neoreactionaries, because there are plenty interesting LW topics that are unrelated to politics. A few years ago people understood that.

Is the implication that other third, made up of libertarians, wouldn't want to be in a political conversation where they are outnumbered?

If so, that's a pretty good joke.

"It's good that we don't talk about X, because there are a lot of NotX things to talk about" is a rather peculiar claim.

Discussing specific ideas one by one is different from discussing vague blobs of ideas

I suppose one could argue that Trump the political animal is in fact a vague blob of ideas, but as a topic of conversation, it's fairly specific, and yet the poster asking for permission to discuss him was effectively told to "shut up" by 40% of respondents. And he did so.

That is what tabooing the word "neoreaction" means.

But that is not what "shut up" means.

Can he discuss Trump, as long as he doesn't use his name? Shall it be "He Who Must Not Be Named" then?

Comment author: Viliam 02 March 2016 03:15:00PM 2 points [-]

If you have Neoreactionary views, your general politics will naturally be Neoreactionary. So some people wanted to talk about it. Why is that a problem?

The problem was they were not able to stop talking about it. Because they had no other platform than Less Wrong where they could present their ideas to wider audience and try recruiting new people.

Also they loved to pretend that the rationalist community as a whole somehow supports their political beliefs, despite the polls showing cca 3% support.

Then at some moment Eliezer became tired of being known as "the guy who hosts the neoreactionary website" and publicly disowned them. They moved their politics to their own website called "More Right" (as you see, they still couldn't stop making hints that they are somehow connected with LW), so they finally had some other outlet.

(It also didn't help their PR that the known vote-manipulator Eugine was their supporter. I know, that's merely an argument by association, but it doesn't help to keep the debate rational and try avoiding mindkilling, if one side has a member that keeps mass-downvoting everyone who disagrees.)

Comment author: buybuydandavis 03 March 2016 10:56:03AM *  2 points [-]

Thank you for the history. That was before my time. Or maybe I just missed that.

But this is consistent with my observations. It's not really politics that is the target of the ban, it's a certain type of politics.

as you see, they still couldn't stop making hints that they are somehow connected with LW

By your own reporting, they were connected to the LW site. That's where they came from, until they were booted off as untouchables. It's part of their own history that LW was the incubator for their site. And given that they were booted from LW for their views, sticking a thumb in the eye of LW is entirely predictable. The name is triply appropriate, given the politics. It would have been too obvious and too good a name to pass up. I would have used it.

Comment author: gjm 03 March 2016 12:00:39PM 2 points [-]

The name is triply appropriate, given the politics. It would have been too obvious and too good a name to pass up. I would have used it.

FWIW, I agree despite being very unfavourably disposed towards their political views.

Comment author: Viliam 03 March 2016 02:10:49PM *  0 points [-]

It's not really politics that is the target of the ban, it's a certain type of politics.

Nope, it's a certain type of behavior.

And given that they were booted from LW for their views,

Nope.

sticking a thumb in the eye of LW is entirely predictable.

Yes, this attitude is a part of the behavior.

Generally, you guys love to behave like predators. Never take "no" for an answer, double down when someone refuses to debate with you (but when someone does, it's obvious you don't listen anyway), then switch to karma assassinations when arguments fail, or otherwise threaten revenge. You probably believe that this is the right (pun intended) strategy, and if only you stay persistent enough, everyone will sooner or later bend over and take it in the ass. Thus sayeth Gnon or whichever idiotic abbreviation you worship today.

Meanwhile, in the real world, being an asshole often works short-term, but in longer term, there are some complications. Such as being publicly recognized for what you are, and not being welcome among people who have higher standards of interaction.

By the way, you guys are much less different from the SJW predators than either side would admit, except that they are pros (because they were selected from a much larger pool of candidates) and you are mostly wankers. Just saying, because you are going to downvote this comment anyway.

But don't mind me. Follow your own strategy and see where it leads you.

Comment author: Lumifer 03 March 2016 03:47:04PM *  3 points [-]

Generally, you guys love to behave like predators.

Oh, boy. Who's that "you guys"? I don't think bbdd is one of the NRx.

In any case, let me point out that you just threw a hissy fit. That wasn't a good move... X-/

Comment author: RowanE 03 March 2016 03:42:59PM 2 points [-]

Downvoted for the kind of attitude actually described in Politics Is The Mind-Killer, the NRxs historically tending v to be the worst offenders is irrelevant.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 03 March 2016 02:43:50PM 1 point [-]

Nope, it's a certain type of behavior.

Nope. Banning a certain type of behavior was used as cover for banning a certain politics.

Then at some moment Eliezer became tired of being known as "the guy who hosts the neoreactionary website" and publicly disowned them.

I don't see behavior as the issue identified here, I see being associated with certain political ideas.

And given that they were booted from LW for their views,
Nope

If you want to be nitpicky, then yes, they personally weren't booted, just discussion of the offending ideas was booted.

you guys

Are you passing out honorary NR degrees? Don't think I'm entirely on board, though they make a lot of good points.

love to behave like predators.

It's predatory to discuss ideas. It's not predatory to prevent people from discussing ideas through institutional power.

double down when someone refuses to debate with you

Isn't it inconvenient when people you disagree with won't shut up? Don't worry, you can probably make them.

being an asshole often works short-term, but in longer term, there are some complications.

Ah yes. Maybe I was around. I do recall discussing someone's equivalence of "NR" = "Assholes". Or maybe that was a PUA discussion. Basically, I disagree with you, therefore you're an asshole.

And you're right in the sense that having unpopular ideas often comes with a cost.

you guys are much less different from the SJW predators than either side would admit

Funny, you seemed just like a SJW predator to me. "Shut up" is also their answer to ideas they disagree with.

Just saying, because you are going to downvote this comment anyway.

Actually, I've upvoted one of your comments in this thread, hadn't downvoted any others, and had no intention of downvoting this one. But don't let that keep you from feeling persecuted by a mean old predator.

Comment author: Lumifer 02 March 2016 03:35:18PM *  2 points [-]

The problem was they were not able to stop talking about it.

In which way is this is a problem on an internet forum the purpose of which is to let people talk about things?

I know some people who can't stop talking about existential risk or quantum immortality X-) Is that a problem, too?

If you want to say "I don't want to be associated with people of such political beliefs", well, just say so.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 03 March 2016 10:57:41AM 1 point [-]

If you want to say "I don't want to be associated with people of such political beliefs", well, just say so.

I thought he said it pretty clearly. EY didn't want to be associated with NR, untouchable heathens that they are.

Comment author: Viliam 02 March 2016 10:00:54PM 0 points [-]

If you want to say "I don't want to be associated with people of such political beliefs", well, just say so.

I don't want LW to be a recruitment place for a political cult.

If the political cult is unable to find a better recruitment place, well, sucks to be them.

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 03 March 2016 07:38:11AM 1 point [-]

I don't want LW to be a recruitment place for a political cult.

What do you mean by "cult"? Many people would consider the founding purpose of LW to be a recruitment place for a cult. Or do you mean you don't want anything that might convert people to a political position different from yours?

Comment author: buybuydandavis 03 March 2016 11:01:16AM *  0 points [-]

Banish the Heretics!

Comment author: buybuydandavis 03 March 2016 11:30:01AM *  1 point [-]

They moved their politics to their own website called "More Right"

Apparently they've also splintered to another site:
http://thefutureprimaeval.net/

LW announcement on More Right - A Good Time Thread
http://lesswrong.com/lw/hcy/link_more_right_launched/

Comment author: Viliam 03 March 2016 02:24:39PM 1 point [-]

Apparently they've also splintered to another site

Too bad they already deleted the reasons why.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 03 March 2016 02:46:21PM 0 points [-]

I believe there was some discussion of the motivation on the LW announcement link.

Comment author: gjm 02 March 2016 01:02:27PM 2 points [-]

And having more to talk about is a problem how?

It seems to me that Viliam's complaint is not that there would be more to talk about, but that more talk would be politicized.

Why is that a problem?

I don't know for sure whether it was (I don't think I ever paid that much attention to the politics threads) but here's one way it could have been: suppose LW has few but very vocal neoreactionaries[1] and that most of the non-neoreactionaries are not very interested in talking about neoreaction[2]. If those few neoreactionaries arrange that every political discussion is packed with NRx stuff, then those political discussions will be annoying to everyone else because in order to read the bits they're interested in they have to wade through lots of NRx comments (and perhaps, though here they may have only themselves to blame, lots of anti-NRx responses).

[1] I think there is some evidence that this is actually so.

[2] This seems likely to be true, but I have no evidence. (I don't mean that most non-NRx people want never to talk about NRx; only that for most the optimal amount of NRx discussion is rather small.)

When I see a thread that I don't want to read, I don't. It doesn't cause me any problem.

What about when you see a thread that you would want to read, but in which a few people obsessed with things you find uninteresting have posted hundreds of comments you don't want to read?

Of course it doesn't need to be neoreactionaries doing this. It could be social-justice types seizing every possible opportunity to point out heteronormative kyriarchal phallogocentric subtexts. It could be people terrified about AI risk turning every discussion of computers doing interesting things into debates about whether We Are All Doomed -- or people skeptical about AI risk complaining incessantly about how LW promotes paranoia about AI risk. It could be Christians proposing Jesus as the answer to every question, or atheists leaping on every case of suffering or successful scientific explanation to remind us that it's evidence against God. Etc., etc., etc.

Wouldn't that be a significant opportunity to get LessWrong?

It might be. Or it might be so only in the sense that for an alcoholic, having a glass of whisky is a significant opportunity to practice the discipline of self-control. (That is: in principle it might be but in practice the outcome might be almost certain to be bad.)

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 03 March 2016 07:42:45AM 0 points [-]

suppose LW has few but very vocal neoreactionaries[1] and that most of the non-neoreactionaries are not very interested in talking about neoreaction[2].

What do you mean by that? Do you mean that they're not interested in becoming lesswrong about the issue or that they only want to become lesswrong to the extent it doesn't involve being similar to those weird NRx's?

Comment author: gjm 03 March 2016 11:37:02AM 3 points [-]

Obviously I mean neither (btw: hi, Eugine!). I mean what I say: for whatever reason they are not very interested in talking about NRx here. Possible reasons other than your maximally-uncharitable ones:

  • They are just not very interested in the things neoreactionaries get excited about (race, gender, political structures -- though it occurs to me that LW's small but vocal NRx contingent appears to be much more interested in race and gender than in any of the other things theoretically characteristic of NRx).
    • Is that the same as "not interested in becoming less wrong"? No, it's broader and typically indicative of a different state of mind. Contrast a hyperzealously closed-minded Christian missionary, who is extremely interested in his religion and not at all interested in becoming less wrong about it, with an apathetic agnostic, who just doesn't give a damn about religion. Neither will be very interested in a presentation of the merits of Hinduism, but their attitudes are quite different. (It's not clear that one is better than the other.)
  • They have already given the matter plenty of thought and done their best to get less wrong about it. At this point they find little value in going over it again and again.
  • They are interested in becoming less wrong about political structures, gender, race, etc., but NRx positions on these lie outside the range they find credible.
    • Is that the same as "only to the extent it doesn't involve being similar to those weird NRx's"? No, it's about finding the ideas implausible rather than finding the people offputting. (Though of course the two may go together. If you find people offputting you may dismiss their ideas; if you find an idea repellent or crazy you may think ill of people who hold it.)
  • They have observed some discussions of NRx, seen that they consistently generate much more heat than light, and decided that whatever the facts of the matter an internet debate about it is likely to do more harm than good.
  • They have found that they find NRx advocates consistently unpleasant, and the benefits of possibly becoming less wrong don't (for them) outweigh the cost of having an unpleasant argument.
  • They have found that they find NRx opponents consistently unpleasant, and (etc.).
Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 03 March 2016 08:52:30PM *  3 points [-]

Interesting theories, let's see how they square with the evidence.

•They are just not very interested in the things neoreactionaries get excited about (race, gender, political structures -- though it occurs to me that LW's small but vocal NRx contingent appears to be much more interested in race and gender than in any of the other things theoretically characteristic of NRx).

On the other hand they are interested in questions where where race, gender, and political structures are relevant to the answers.

•They have already given the matter plenty of thought and done their best to get less wrong about it. At this point they find little value in going over it again and again. •They are interested in becoming less wrong about political structures, gender, race, etc., but NRx positions on these lie outside the range they find credible.

If that was the case, one would expect them to be able to produce counter arguments to say the "NRx" (although it's not unique to NRx) positions on race and gender. Instead the best they can do is link to SSC (which agrees that the NRx's have a point in that respect), or say things that amount to saying how they don't want to think about it.

•They have observed some discussions of NRx, seen that they consistently generate much more heat than light, and decided that whatever the facts of the matter an internet debate about it is likely to do more harm than good.

To the extent that's true its not the "NRx" people generating the heat.

•They have found that they find NRx advocates consistently unpleasant, and the benefits of possibly becoming less wrong don't (for them) outweigh the cost of having an unpleasant argument. •They have found that they find NRx opponents consistently unpleasant, and (etc.).

These are just rephrasing of my hypothesis that they only want to become lesswrong to the extent it doesn't involve being similar to those weird NRx's. Good to hear you're willing to agree with it.

Comment author: Viliam 03 March 2016 08:42:39AM 1 point [-]

So, being "less wrong" is measured by "how much time one spends debating neoreaction"? If you refuse to keep endlessly debating neoreaction, you are closed-minded. Don't worry about evidence; the signalling is cool!

Comment author: OrphanWilde 01 March 2016 02:13:37PM 4 points [-]

I was running monthly politics threads. I don't recall that conversations involved NR specifically, but I do recall that the discussions taking place were so specific they had no general/popular appeal, and conversations were short, muted, and didn't go anywhere.

I was left reading the discussions taking place with the impression that people were looking for things to try to argue about, rather than having anything particularly meaningful they wanted to argue about which they previously couldn't. Given that one of my purposes was to try to arrange a safety valve for a perceived growing political pressure (which eventually exploded in the feminism war that got Eugine Nier banned and which caused most of the more prominent feminist-leaning members to leave), they were failing for my intended purpose, so I stopped creating them.

The debates didn't generally have an issue staying civilized, though, as I recall.

Comment author: Lumifer 01 March 2016 04:45:21PM 3 points [-]

but in practice, we have problems keeping the debates civilized.

Is this actually true? I don't think LW is having this kind of problems.

Same with "difficult to contain" -- I do not observe these difficulties.

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 03 March 2016 07:44:20AM *  1 point [-]

Hint: "civilized" is a euphemism for "not reaching conclusions that make Villiam feel uncomfortable".

Comment author: Viliam 03 March 2016 08:19:57AM 2 points [-]

No, it's an umbrella term for things including "not mass-downvoting people because they disagreed with you once", etc.

Comment author: Good_Burning_Plastic 03 March 2016 11:03:29AM 1 point [-]

Hello back, Eugine.

Comment author: philh 01 March 2016 10:22:45AM 2 points [-]

Saying "I don't want to hear that" when specifically asked if you want to hear it is very different from "shut up, I don't want to hear what you want to talk about".

Comment author: buybuydandavis 01 March 2016 11:15:17AM *  2 points [-]

Yes. I was referring to the latter, which I've seen a lot of.

So much so, that people tip toe around and ask for permission to speak.

Comment author: bogus 02 March 2016 09:41:57AM 1 point [-]

What is this asking for permission via a poll thing?

It's called polliteness.

FTFY.

Comment author: Lumifer 29 February 2016 04:05:25PM 1 point [-]

That implies most everyone on LW is impolite most of the time.

Comment author: moridinamael 29 February 2016 04:10:02PM 6 points [-]

Well, yes, but

Comment author: Elo 28 February 2016 10:42:12PM 2 points [-]
  1. "just show me the answers"

  2. What benefit would you propose it would bring?

Comment author: James_Miller 28 February 2016 10:51:18PM *  9 points [-]

It's one of the most important and surprising events of our time and much of the discussion is anti-rational, i.e. bad people support Trump so Trump is bad; many are claiming that electing Trump would be catastrophic and discussing potential catastrophes is supposed to be one of the purposes of LW.

Comment author: Vaniver 29 February 2016 02:25:54PM 4 points [-]

I think a question of how Trump interacts with x-risk is a potentially interesting conversation topic. I think an analysis of class that uses Trump as an example is a potentially interesting conversation topic.

But I worry that even here a direct discussion of Trump will be anti-rational / along cultural lines instead of about rational expectations, and I'm not sure what actions we would take differently as a result of having that conversation.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 01 March 2016 09:51:19AM 3 points [-]

I think Trump's rise is interesting for a number of issues that people here have particular interest in.

How he wins. How his attackers lose. The power of his signature issues in trade and immigration. The potential for a political realignment with the Republican Party, and how that realigns US politics as a whole.

The media has been outraged, they have attacked, and they have failed to bring him down. His poll numbers just go up and up and up. That's interesting, and merits discussion.

Comment author: Lumifer 29 February 2016 04:02:55PM *  4 points [-]

It's one of the most important and surprising events of our time

*cough*bullshit*cough*

Comment author: James_Miller 29 February 2016 05:11:28PM 0 points [-]

Then name three more important events that have transpired mostly in the last 6 months?

Comment author: Lumifer 29 February 2016 05:53:54PM *  3 points [-]

You said (emphasis mine): "one of the most important and surprising events of our time"

I tend to interpret "our time" as a period that is a bit longer than the last six months.

But even if you want to look at recent news, here are three things which I consider to be much more consequential than Donald Trump: (1) the European refugee crisis; (2) the Chinese economic troubles; (3) the Russian direct military intervention in Syria.

May I politely suggest paying less attention to the idiot box?

Comment author: Vaniver 29 February 2016 07:23:09PM 2 points [-]

May I politely suggest paying less attention to the idiot box?

I'm not sure that argument goes through--if the European refugee crisis is important, then aren't Merkel, Obama, and Clinton important? And if they're important once they're in office, isn't the process by which they enter office important?

Comment author: Lumifer 29 February 2016 07:50:05PM *  4 points [-]

I'm not sure that argument goes through

That argument involving the idiot box actually looks like this: Mass media optimizes for outrage. Estimating the importance of the topic by the amount of air time it gets is a mistake.

if the European refugee crisis is important, then aren't Merkel, Obama, and Clinton important?

No. Not in the sense that Merkel, etc. are unimportant, but in the sense that a systemic crisis is not reducible to the importance of whoever happens to be in the office at the moment.

isn't the process by which they enter office important?

If James_Miller wanted to discuss the crisis of the "establishment" center of the mainstream US parties and the rebellions within them, it might have been an interesting topic. But James_Miller want to discuss Donald Trump, personally.

Of course, that's what Donald Trump wants as well X-)

Comment author: Vaniver 29 February 2016 10:00:48PM 4 points [-]

a systemic crisis is not reducible to the importance of whoever happens to be in the office at the moment.

The reason I picked those particular people is because of Clinton's role in the removal of Qaddafi, Obama's role in the continued destabilization of Syria, and Merkel's public pledge to take in refugees (which exacerbated the degree to which it is a European crisis, instead of a Syrian or Africa crisis). "Whoever happens to be in the office at the moment" is a factor in many of these crises.

Comment author: Lumifer 29 February 2016 10:24:53PM 2 points [-]

I have a feeling we're slowly slipping towards the conflict between the "impersonal forces" and "great people" views of history :-)

But I guess the question here is whether you want to discuss people or whether you want to discuss systems. Of course they are related and interdependent, but still. Going back to the source of this subthread, I find thinking about tensions between "rebels" and "nomenklatura" in US political parties to be moderately interesting (especially in the context of how they deal with the need to overpromise during the campaign). I find Donald Trump to be very uninteresting. YMMV, of course.

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 03 March 2016 07:52:37AM 2 points [-]

No. Not in the sense that Merkel, etc. are unimportant, but in the sense that a systemic crisis is not reducible to the importance of whoever happens to be in the office at the moment.

Even if she did greatly exacerbate it by doing something really stupid?

Comment author: Lumifer 03 March 2016 03:56:51PM 1 point [-]

Yes, even, because there are reasons she did that and those reasons don't have much to do with her personally. It wasn't like she buckled the entire German consensus.

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 03 March 2016 08:35:23AM 3 points [-]

How about the various welfare states around the world finally starting to run out of other people's money. The biggest manifestations of this so far have been the financial crisis in the EU, and the various pension crises in US local governments.

Heck, in my more conspiratorial moods I'm inclined to suspect that these migrant crises are an excuse to import a bunch of convenient scapegoats who can than be blamed for the collapse of popular entitlement programs.

Comment author: Lumifer 03 March 2016 03:57:55PM *  1 point [-]

How about the various welfare states around the world finally starting to run out of other people's money.

That's not one of the events "that have transpired mostly in the last 6 months" :-)

But yes, I'm watching Japan with great interest :-D

Comment author: buybuydandavis 01 March 2016 10:01:49AM 1 point [-]

The refugee crisis is very interesting. Not quite "Camp of the Saints", but it's a huge acceleration of frictions I expected to take much longer to play out, and not really hit the fan so soon.

Chinese economic troubles? Recessions are big things, but they happen. Economies go up, they go down.

Russian intervention in Syria. Russian satellite state getting military support. Shrug. Turkey seems much more interesting to me. I suppose the Russians intervention does make it possible for some serious confrontation with the US, but I don't see Putin or Obama having much interest in that.

Comment author: Lumifer 01 March 2016 03:45:09PM *  1 point [-]

Recessions are big things, but they happen.

There are some complicated wrinkles to this one, including the observation that the (current) legitimacy of the Communist Party rule to a great extent depends on it being able to provide visibly and rapidly rising standards of living. And, of course, the question whether China is done with its growth spurt or it's merely a hiccup has major geopolitical consequences a decade or two away.

Russian satellite state getting military support.

The first time post-Soviet Russia puts boots on the ground outside of the former USSR. The overarching theme is the global assertiveness of Mr.Putin and Middle East is always an... interesting place. And there is Iran nearby :-/

I agree that Turkey is interesting, too, but nothing "big" happened there recently and were were talking about events.

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 04 March 2016 04:27:14AM 1 point [-]

I agree that Turkey is interesting, too, but nothing "big" happened there recently and were were talking about events.

Um, shooting down a Russian plane.

Comment author: Lumifer 04 March 2016 06:14:49AM 1 point [-]

Um, shooting down a Russian plane.

And... nothing happened.

Comment author: skeptical_lurker 29 February 2016 10:02:46AM *  0 points [-]

It's one of the most important and surprising events of our time

I'm saying this in hindsight, but I disagree about this being surprising. Anti-immigration parties are on the rise all across Europe. The National Front in France are probably to the right of Trump, and Golden Dawn in Greece are genuine neo-nazis. More generally, non-mainstream parties are on the rise, probably powered by the ability to organise grassroots activism via the net. Even the Pirate Parties are winning seats.

Given this, is it really surprising that non-mainstream candidates would happen in the US too, both with Trump and Bernie Sanders?

I'm actually surprised that Sanders isn't the Democratic frontrunner, especially when his only opponent is being investigated for espionage.

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 03 March 2016 08:05:34AM *  3 points [-]

Golden Dawn in Greece are genuine neo-nazis.

Depending no who you listen to, so's the National Front, Putin, anti-Putin, Trump, mainstream Republicans, insufficiently left-wing Democrats, etc.

Ok, so what's your reason for believing Golden Dawn are actually neo-nazi? (Edit: and what do you mean by "actual neo-nazi" anyway?)

Comment author: skeptical_lurker 11 March 2016 06:07:39AM *  1 point [-]

Just look at their flag:

https://www.google.co.uk/imgres?imgurl=https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/17/Meandros_flag.svg/150px-Meandros_flag.svg.png&imgrefurl=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_Dawn_(political_party)&h=100&w=150&tbnid=CDly4gAodIMPcM:&tbnh=80&tbnw=120&docid=g-53Bx9BWHOy2M&usg=__gcjSL8sDC3eM9-5mVj4vERTCyW8=&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwi-oezK-bfLAhVpQpoKHY3fANQQ9QEIITAA)

It looks just like a swastika. Sure, Putin and Trump and anyone who is nationalistic can be compared to Nazis, but this cheapens the term 'Nazi' or 'fascist'.

By "actual neo-nazi" I mean a group which has significant use of Nazi imagery and when significant members explicitly endorse Nazism.

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 11 March 2016 07:31:41AM 1 point [-]

Just look at their flag

Seriously? You're only argument is that their flag looks like a Swastika if you squint just right?

Comment author: skeptical_lurker 11 March 2016 08:31:56AM 0 points [-]

The flag looks almost exactly like a swastica. Also, see hairyfigment's comment and read the wikipedia page. There is plenty more evidence.

They wouldn't have chosen that flag unless they were neo-nazis. If they really wanted that symbol, it could have been against a different color background.

Comment author: Lumifer 11 March 2016 04:15:27PM 2 points [-]

They wouldn't have chosen that flag unless they were neo-nazis.

You think so?

Comment author: hairyfigment 11 March 2016 08:02:33AM 0 points [-]

Glad you asked, Eugine:

The party denies that it has any official connection to Neo-Nazism. Although it uses the Roman salute, a salute used by the Italian Fascist and German National Socialist movements, it claims to draw its inspiration in this primarily from the 4th of August Regime established by Ioannis Metaxas...Likewise, the Golden Dawn's meander symbol, while sometimes compared to the National Socialist Swastika, is according to Golden Dawn a symbol drawn from Greek art, which the party sees as representing bravery and eternal struggle.[18][128]

Ilias Kasidiaris, a spokesman for Golden Dawn, wrote an article that was published in Golden Dawn magazine on 20 April 2011, in which he said, "What would the future of Europe and the whole modern world be like if World War II hadn't stopped the renewing route of National Socialism? Certainly, fundamental values which mainly derive from ancient Greek culture, would be dominant in every state and would define the fate of peoples. Romanticism as a spiritual movement and classicism would prevail against the decadent subculture that corroded the white man. Extreme materialism would have been discarded, giving its place to spiritual exaltation". In the same article, Adolf Hitler is characterized as a "great social reformer" and "military genius".[129]

In an article published in 1987 in the Golden Dawn magazine titled "Hitler for 1000 years", its editor Michaloliakos [see below] showed his support for Nazism and white supremacy.[130] Specifically he wrote, "We are the faithful soldiers of the National Socialist idea and nothing else" and "[...] WE EXIST, and continue the battle, the battle for the final victory of our race".[130] He ends the article by writing "1987, 42 years later, with our thought and soul given to the last great battle, with our thought and soul given to the black and red banners, with our thought and soul given to the memory of our great Leader, we raise our right hand up, we salute the Sun and with the courage, that is compelled by our military honor and our National Socialist duty we shout full of passion, faith to the future and our visions: HEIL HITLER!".[130]

...The founder of the party, Nikolaos Michaloliakos, appeared to give a Nazi salute in the Athens city council. He claims that it was merely "the salute of the national youth organisation of Ioannis Metaxas".[128][136]

Of course, society normally finds it easy to recognize and ostracize such blatantly dishonest Nazism. It doesn't create any actual confusion - unless people have gone out of their way to weaken society's immune system, eg by deliberately signalling Nazism when the reality is more obscure.

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 12 March 2016 01:34:37AM 2 points [-]

Of course, society normally finds it easy to recognize and ostracize such blatantly dishonest Nazism.

What do you mean by "normally" and can you find any examples of society that actually operated like you describe? Keep in mind the word "Nazi" was already being applied to anything and everything the speaker disliked as early as 1942.

Comment author: skeptical_lurker 11 March 2016 09:11:59AM 1 point [-]

It doesn't create any actual confusion - unless people have gone out of their way to weaken society's immune system, eg by deliberately signalling Nazism when the reality is more obscure.

I think it weakens the immune system more when anyone who isn't in favour of completely unrestricted immigration gets called a Nazi. And there's a failure mode where constantly calling people Nazis (or sexists/racists) makes them more favourable towards Nazis (the theory is that on a subconcious level they think 'if I'm a Nazi, maybe Nazism isn't so bad).

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 12 March 2016 01:32:37AM 1 point [-]

(the theory is that on a subconcious level they think 'if I'm a Nazi, maybe Nazism isn't so bad).

Or the more straightforward, if anyone proposing sensible immigration policy gets called a Nazi, eventually people conclude that "Nazi" means someone in favor of sensible immigration policy.

Comment author: skeptical_lurker 13 March 2016 06:02:34PM 1 point [-]

I agree, and I am trying to use words in a precise manner. Trump is not a Nazi. The Golden Dawn are.

Comment author: Torchlight_Crimson 13 March 2016 06:33:44PM 1 point [-]

LOL. Seriously, do you have any more evidence beyond "their symbol sotra looks like a swastika". How about you try looking for the factions in Greece using Nazi-style tactics, like say arresting their opponents on vague trumped up charges. Hint: it's not Golden Dawn.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 01 March 2016 10:18:44AM 3 points [-]

probably powered by the ability to organise grassroots activism via the net.

The ideological gate keepers are losing control. The Cologne cover up looks like a pretty significant event for discrediting the Top Men.

On Sanders, all the Democratic Powers that Be lined up behind Clinton, and even Sanders got in lock step to maintain that Clinton's email catastrophe is much ado about nothing. The Democratic Party has spent a couple of decades dealing with Clinton scandals. It's all just a cast right wing conspiracy, don't you know?

Probably the biggest hit Hillary has taken is from younger women, turned off by HIllary "standing by her man" and attacking his sexual abuse accusers, Gloria Steinem belittling Bernie gals as boy crazy for Bernie Bros, and Albright playing the Vote Vagina or Go to Hell card.

Comment author: Elo 01 March 2016 12:26:49AM 0 points [-]

scores are still at the same place with 54 votes ROT13 (gjragl avar lrf, gjragl svir ab). Mostly tied. As I said before:

If the tie continues I would encourage you to not post it.

Comment author: [deleted] 29 February 2016 01:05:33PM 0 points [-]

I vastly prefer voting "no" on a poll like this, vs. the idea of downvoting a post I think doesn't belong here but is fine otherwise.