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ChristianKl comments on AIFoom Debate - conclusion? - Less Wrong Discussion

11 Post author: Bound_up 04 March 2016 08:33PM

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Comment author: [deleted] 05 March 2016 03:16:06AM *  -2 points [-]

Don't waste your time with the AI foom stuff. The commonly held opinion by experts that work with actual AI technology is that any sort of hard takeoffs will have timelines that are not small on human scales, at least with technology that exists today.

You need only do a few back of the envelope calculations using various AI techniques and AGI architectures to see that learning cycles are measured in hours or days, not milliseconds.

Comment author: ChristianKl 07 March 2016 09:14:36PM 3 points [-]

If an AGI manages to substantially improve itself every few days I would still call it a hard takeoff.