= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
turchin comments on AIFoom Debate - conclusion? - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (48)
One main thing from which foom depends is the number of AIs which are fooming simultaneously. If it only one, it is real foom. If hundreds, it is just a transition to new equilibrium where will be many superintelligent agents.
The answer on one or many AIs critically depends on the speed of fooming. If fooming doubling time is miliseconds, than one AI wins. But if it weeks or months there will be many fooming AIs, which may result in war between AIs or equilibrium.
But what is more important here is a question: how strong fooming is compare to overall speed of progress in the AI field? If AI is fooming with doubling time of 3 weeks, but the field has speed of 1 month, its is not real fooming.
If AI depends of one crutial insight, which will result in 10 000 times improvement, that will be the real fooming.