turchin comments on Updating towards the simulation hypothesis because you think about AI - Less Wrong Discussion
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Yes, I now see the the difference: "where life develops and there is a great filter that destroy civilizations before paperclip maximizers get going."
But I understand it in the way that great filter is something that usually happens during tech development of a civilization before it creates AI. Like nuclear wars and bio catastrophes are so likely that no civilization survive until creation of strong AI.
It doesn't contradict Katja's version, which only claims that GF is in the future. It still in the future. https://meteuphoric.wordpress.com/2010/03/23/sia-doomsday-the-filter-is-ahead/