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WalterL comments on Open Thread March 7 - March 13, 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion

4 Post author: Elo 07 March 2016 03:24AM

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Comment author: CellBioGuy 09 March 2016 08:19:41AM *  5 points [-]

AlphaGo system won first game. Not a go player, but the commentary I've seen suggests it was quite close until the very end.

Hypothesis 1: The cluster plays to maximize odds of a win, not magnitude of a win, and is exploiting a class of close wins that humans have a hard time with. Expect sweeping near wins.

Hypothesis 2: The cluster and the champion are indeed evenly matched. Expect wins and losses. May imply that the game saturates at high levels of analysis, and that there is no such thing as a 'superhuman' go player because the best humans hit the point of diminishing returns.

*EDIT: evidence accumulating in favor of #1.

*EDIT2: final results suggest something between the two.

Comment author: WalterL 09 March 2016 01:28:39PM 0 points [-]

That strikes me as right on the money.