As far as I can tell, Paul's current proposal might still suffer from blackmail, like his earlier proposal which I commented on
What problem do you have in mind here?
I thought that the previous problem was mostly psychological, i.e. that if humans were rational agents then this AI would be roughly as vulnerable to blackmail as its designers. So I thought the issue was the psychological strangeness (and great length) of the weird hypothetical.
Here we have no such hypothetical, and the system's behavior only depends on the predicted behavior of humans in the real world. That seems to address the narrow version of your concern.
I can see two analogous problems:
Did you have in mind 1, 2, or something else?
I mostly had in mind 2. Not sure how predicting humans is different from putting humans in hypotheticals. It seems like the same problems could happen.
There have been a couple of brief discussions of this in the Open Thread, but it seems likely to generate more so here's a place for it.
The original paper in Nature about AlphaGo.
Google Asia Pacific blog, where results will be posted. DeepMind's YouTube channel, where the games are being live-streamed.
Discussion on Hacker News after AlphaGo's win of the first game.