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Vaniver comments on AlphaGo versus Lee Sedol - Less Wrong Discussion
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Lee Sedol has now won the fourth game, which makes this very improbable. I still think AlphaGo is better than him, but this basically means that its competence can still be measured on a human scale.
Agreed that match 4 was a big surprise under my model (I thought it was about 1:20 favoring AlphaGo).