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Coacher comments on Open thread, Mar. 14 - Mar. 20, 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Simple hypothesis relating to Why Don't Rationalists Win:
Everyone has some collection of skills and abilities, including things like charisma, luck, rationality, determination, networking ability, etc. Each person's success is limited by constraints related to these abilities, in the same way that an application's performance is limited by the CPU speed, RAM, disk speed, networking speed, etc of the machine(s) it runs on. But just as for many applications the performance bottleneck isn't CPU speed, for most people the success bottleneck isn't rationality.
Another hypothesis - the smarter you sound the less friends you tend to have.
Fewer!
Most people like having at least one smart friend.
The trick is not to make other people feel stupid, which many (most?) smart people are very bad at.
I suspect it's more of a golden middle kind of thing -- people out in both tails of the distribution tend to have social problems.