= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Lumifer comments on Does Evidence Have To Be Certain? - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (12)
Yeah, the problem i have with that though is that I'm left asking: why did I change my probability in that? Is it because i updated on something else? Was I certain of that something else? If not, then why did I change my probability of that something else, and on we go down the rabbit hole of an infinite regress.
Presumably because you got some new information. If there is no information, there is no update. If the information is uncertain, make appropriate adjustments. The "infinite regress" would either converge to some limit or you'll end up, as OrphanWilde says, with Descartes' deceiving demon at which point you don't know anything and just stand there slack-jawed till someone runs you over.