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Lumifer comments on How to provide a simple example to the requirement of falsifiability in the scientific method to a novice audience? - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: Val 11 April 2016 09:26PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 13 April 2016 12:58:37AM 2 points [-]

That could backfire quite spectacularly :-)

Comment author: johnlawrenceaspden 14 April 2016 04:55:11PM 0 points [-]

We should keep running the trials until we can get p<0.05 and prove the hypothesis!

Comment author: Val 19 April 2016 09:17:34PM 0 points [-]

If this would be enough to prove the effectiveness of rain-dancing, then we would develop 30 different styles of rain-dance, test each of them, and with a very high chance we would get p<0.05 on at least one of them.

Sadly, the medical industry is full of such publications, because publishing new ideas is rewarded more than reproducing already published experiments.

Comment author: ChristianKl 18 April 2016 10:20:41AM 0 points [-]

We should keep running the trials until we can get p<0.05 and prove the hypothesis!

Hitting p<0.05 doesn't prove the hypotheis. That's not what the t-test does.