You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

CynicalOptimist comments on How to provide a simple example to the requirement of falsifiability in the scientific method to a novice audience? - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: Val 11 April 2016 09:26PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (57)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: CynicalOptimist 22 April 2016 10:24:32PM *  0 points [-]

Yes, that's definitely true. If you know a little, or a lot, about genetics, then the theory is falsifiable.

I think it still works just fine as an example though. The goal was to explain the meaning and the importance of falsifiability. Spotiswood's theory, as presented and as it was being used, wasn't making any useful predictions. No one was looking at familial comparisons, and i implied that Spotiswood wasn't making any effort to identify the gene, so the only observations that were coming in were "person lives", or "person dies". Within that context, Spotiswood's theory can explain any observation, and makes no useful predictions.

If that's not an example of an unfalsifiable theory, then it's still an example that helps explain the key elements of unfalsifiability, and helps explain why they're important.

If an audience member should then point out what you pointed out? Then that's brilliant. We can agree with the audience member, and talk about how this new consideration shows that the theory can be falsifiable after all.

But then we also get to point out how this falsifiability is what makes a theory much more useful... and the example still works because (QED) that's exactly the point we were trying to demonstrate.