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Lumifer comments on Expect to know better when you know more - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 21 April 2016 03:47PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 21 April 2016 05:27:03PM *  2 points [-]

... is higher than the probability

...is equal to or higher than the probability

is greater than one

is equal to or greater than one

Thus, in expectation, the posterior probability of the true hypothesis is greater than its prior probability.

Thus, in expectation, the posterior probability of the true hypothesis is equal to or greater than its prior probability.

That matters.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 21 April 2016 05:55:37PM 0 points [-]

I tend to go for greater being => and strictly greater being >.

Comment author: Lumifer 21 April 2016 06:22:27PM *  3 points [-]

That's not how English works and that's not how people will understand your words.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 21 April 2016 07:00:21PM *  3 points [-]

Thinking about it, you are correct; I will put off my efforts to reform mathematical terminology to another time.