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Ixiel comments on Open Thread June 6 - June 12, 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion

4 Post author: Elo 06 June 2016 04:21AM

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Comment author: Ixiel 09 June 2016 01:19:06PM *  3 points [-]

Does anyone have any good studies on the benefit of jobs, net of pay? I have a vague memory of some, but am not finding them when I look.

Edit: Might help to clarify purpose. I'm inclined to believe the answer is "not much," and that employment is generally a bad thing, apart from the not dying of want bit. I want to see the strongest arguments that I'm wrong, and y'all steelman better than pretty much anyone I know.

Comment author: Viliam 10 June 2016 02:55:22PM *  6 points [-]

Just some anecdotal evidence:

For some people, jobs provide a scaffolding of their daily time. It's what makes them wake up in the morning. Take the job away from these people and here is what happens: wake up at 10AM, slowly make a breakfast, eat it, watch the TV a bit, make a lunch and eat it, now it's 3PM, feels like too late to do anything meaningful, so just watch the TV, make a dinner and eat it, watch some more TV, go to sleep, repeat over and over again. It seems like people without jobs should logically have more free time, but some of them actually manage to achieve less while unemployed.

For some old people, jobs provide social opportunity that is hard to replace when they retire. Suddenly, instead of spending their day interacting with a dozen people they know, they spend their day alone at home, complaining that their children don't visit them more often.

Without routine, some people's lives "fall apart". Humans are not automatically strategic. In theory, a life without job (with basic income, or retirement money, or just savings that allow you to take a really long vacation) should be better, but in practice sometimes it isn't. Think about all the superstimuli around us: for some people, their job may be the only thing that gets them offline most of the days.

(Disclaimer: This all said, I would still prefer to have a basic income and get extra 8 hours of freedom every day. There is a risk my life would become less amazing than I imagine it, but I would gladly take the risk.)

There is a possible counter-argument that the effects of losing the job might be only temporary. Like, if people have been conditioned for years to organize their lives around their job (and school), of course it gets them out of balance when the job suddenly disappears, because they never had the opportunity to learn how to organize their lives for themselves. But given enough time, they might develop the skill.

Comment author: Lumifer 10 June 2016 05:20:19PM 4 points [-]

but some of them actually manage to achieve less while unemployed.

Parkinson's Law ("work expands to fill time available") can lead to some pretty ridiculous results.

Comment author: Ixiel 10 June 2016 05:29:03PM -1 points [-]

Thanks for that Vil. I accept these benefits, and agree that there might be a better way, but it's always good to know what issues are likely to occur to one.

Comment author: WalterL 10 June 2016 05:15:17PM 5 points [-]

I'm a pretty well off person. Recently I went jobless for a while. I missed, above all, the structure. Like, this may sound cliche, but because I didn't have to get up I didn't regulate when I went to bed. So I started to go to bed later and later, and thus, get up later and later.

It isn't that my sleep schedule got off sync with the world's (although, of course, it did that), its that it got off sync with itself. Week by week I'd stay up a little later, get up a little later. It became hard for me to commit to things ahead of time, because I might well sleep through it.

Ultimately, before I started interviewing again, I had to spend a week pretending I had a job. That is, setting my night clock to go to sleep, my wake clock to get up, etc.

Looking back on the months I spent between jobs, I accomplished less towards my day trading and writing goals than I did in an equivalent period in my last gig. For me, at least, jobs are good for more than money. I doubt I could make myself do them if they didn't pay, mind, but that seems to be the reasonable truth.

Comment author: Ixiel 10 June 2016 05:26:31PM 0 points [-]

Thanks for that Walter. I feel like I have a sense of this phenomenon (I retired at 33 and was expecting to be WAY more bored and less satisfied than I am), and am very interested in a full study (I haven't found it; any of y'all run psychological studies for money?), but I hear more stories like yours than the alternative.

Were you looking for employment, or were you on the fence between retirement and a break? Knowing you have to go back eventually might be a factor.

Comment author: Lumifer 10 June 2016 05:36:56PM 4 points [-]

Why are you interested in a study? Studies typically tell you about the averages and in many cases the averages are not what you need. In some cases, they are, actually, what no one needs.

Some people fall apart without externally imposed structure, but some people thrive in the absence of constraints. The latter are often called "self-directed" or "self-motivated" or some other term like that. Both types exist, not to mention the intermediate cases, of course.

Comment author: Ixiel 10 June 2016 06:04:53PM *  2 points [-]

Because I plan on doing some more serious campaigning for a more aggressive GBI (among other things) than what a lot of people advocate. I plan on making the case that there is absolutely nothing wrong with someone deciding to just live off the dole and not work, and that people who choose that are often more in the way of people making progress than helping them when they show up to clock hours. I also plan to assert that people who don't have to work, effectively on penalty of death if I want to sound dramatic, will have a better wheat/chaff ratio for what they do do. Of course I want to make sure it's true first :P

If I get to design the study it'll be a little different from the study I seek because I don't think I can expect anyone to have done that study. And I'll be more interested in the whole study than the executive summary for exactly the reasons you describe.

Comment author: Lumifer 10 June 2016 07:15:24PM *  4 points [-]

there is absolutely nothing wrong with someone deciding to just live off the dole and not work

Within which framework? From an individual point of view, sure. From the point of view of the society, not so much -- someone has to produce value which this person will consume. Arguing that it's psychologically healthy to not work isn't a relevant argument here.

that people who don't have to work ... will have a better wheat/chaff ratio for what they do do

You know that the primary function of the markets is provide incentives for wheat and disincentives for chaff, right? They perform this function quite well. You will argue that without the guiding prod of the market people will produce more of better stuff all by themselves?

Comment author: Ixiel 10 June 2016 07:26:12PM 1 point [-]
  1. Well I have a much longer argument for this in the book, but I propose that the amount of work people will do because they want to is more than enough to run society. 40h per person per week (ish) is, in my view, largely makework.

  2. Of course.
    The markets have a major confound, imo, in the form of pro-job policy. I believe, and I have some support for this but not enough to prove the point yet, that if "jobs creation" did not occur as a political activity, the market would normalize below the level people would produce without, again using the provocative language descriptively not manipulatively, the lingering threat of dying of want.

Comment author: Lumifer 10 June 2016 07:40:19PM *  1 point [-]

I propose that the amount of work people will do because they want to is more than enough to run society

That's classic Communist utopia straight out of Karl Marx. "From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs". Why do you believe this to be true?

Another question, related to the role of the markets as conduits of information, is why do you think the work people will do is the work that other people need? As a first-order approximation I would expect that you won't have any problems having your portrait painted, but your clogged toilet will stay clogged for a long time.

if "jobs creation" did not occur as a political activity, the market would normalize below the level people would produce without, again using the provocative language descriptively not manipulatively, the lingering threat of dying of want.

First, that's not self-evident. Job creation policies mostly reallocate labour (from productive use to less productive). Getting rid of make-work jobs, in the absence of other regulations, will just free up these people to be employed in other areas where their talents can be utilized better. The net effect would be higher productivity but not necessarily a lower level of employment.

Besides, do you want this "below the level"? You interpret this a lots of leisure. I interpret this as a poor society.

Comment author: gjm 10 June 2016 08:37:51PM -1 points [-]

Apologies for the digression and please feel free not to answer, but I'm curious: How were you able to retire at 33? Successful startup? Family money? Working in finance plus reasonable frugality?

Comment author: Ixiel 11 June 2016 01:14:29PM *  1 point [-]

Just genetic lottery. My family owns a chain of convenience stores in upstate NY, and after some time in banking I decided I'd prefer not to work any more. I am writing a book, but I don't feel comfortable calling myself an author until I publish it.

I'm comfortable talking about it as long as I don't feel like I'm being perceived as bragging about something over which I have no control (which is stupid, and which I see in other people all the time)

Comment author: Viliam 13 June 2016 10:15:06AM *  0 points [-]

I guess the important question for most of us is: "Is that something I could try to replicate?" Obviously no, unless your family is planning to adopt some LessWrongers. :D

Still, we can hope that your experiences will be useful for our children one day.

Comment author: Ixiel 13 June 2016 10:36:18AM *  0 points [-]

Yup. And being at K&C for most of my life, any windfalls get passed forward, so I'm not competing with anyone for those going forward. But not especially helpful in replication.

Oops. Hit a one way button. Will just use edit to rewrite next time But now I know what "retract" does :)

Comment author: WalterL 10 June 2016 06:48:47PM 0 points [-]

Initially I thought I'd take a few months, veg out, etc. After I lived that way for a while though I became interested in getting a new job again. Took a couple weeks from deciding to work again to getting the job.

So, sort of both? Started out with no strong opinions on work again vs. not, migrated to looking for job.

Comment author: Ixiel 10 June 2016 07:18:51PM -1 points [-]

Right on. Thanks!

Comment author: Lumifer 09 June 2016 02:23:21PM 2 points [-]

the benefit of jobs, net of pay

Compared to what?

Comment author: tut 09 June 2016 04:17:47PM 1 point [-]

Compared to not having a job presumably. But you raise a good point. It might be easier to find relevant studies by looking for research on the effects of unemployment or retirement.

Comment author: Lumifer 09 June 2016 04:37:55PM 3 points [-]

Compared to not having a job presumably.

I can easily come up with very very different subgroups who "do not have a job", e.g.:

  • housewives
  • trust fund kids
  • chronic welfare recipients
  • retired people

The benefits of having a job are likely to be very different for them.

Comment author: Ixiel 09 June 2016 05:42:46PM *  0 points [-]

Oh? I was thinking of a study I saw and lost, but differences in benefits to those groups sound fascinating to me also. I would not have guessed the answer to be all that different, again net of pay. I won't ask you to run me a free study (but if you want to... ;) ) but do you have any basic ideas on the matter philosophically?

Comment author: Lumifer 09 June 2016 06:45:25PM *  2 points [-]

A study requires data which I neither have nor can easily get :-/

Handwaving my guesses about job benefits...

  • Housewives: more growth and development (capabilities, self-respect, etc.), less reliance on the breadwinner, larger social circles, a chance to achieve something notable.
  • Trust fund kids: similar to housewives but without the reliance issue. Also, a lesser chance to spend your life being a nobody doing nothing,
  • Welfare recipients: potential to climb out of the poverty pit, breaking dependence habits, reintegration into productive society, etc.
  • Retired people: less boredom and social isolation, a potentially meaningful way to spend your time, a (limited) purpose to get out of bed each morning and make oneself presentable.
Comment author: Ixiel 09 June 2016 07:03:16PM -1 points [-]

I see similarities, but the differences are useful too. Thanks for the reply.

I've self-identified as three of those things as the same person (retired, housewife, and independently wealthy ("trust fund kid" feels like I'd imagine the 'n' word feels to a black man or "faggot" to a gay one. Pretty unoffendable myself, but just fyi) )as full disclosure.

If I find the study I want, I'll let you know. Thanks for the help!

Comment author: Lumifer 10 June 2016 01:45:49AM 1 point [-]

"trust fund kid" feels like I'd imagine the 'n' word feels to a black man or "faggot" to a gay one.

So, them's fighting words in your neck of the woods? Does uttering them dramatically raise the probability of someone being punched in the face in the immediate future? or gasp! not being invited to the next bbq?

Comment author: Ixiel 10 June 2016 10:02:09AM 0 points [-]

It's somewhere a little below the 'n' word or the 'r' word, but above "douchebag" or "liberal." As one might imagine, it doesn't come up much. And again, I was commenting on how it feels from the inside, not on how it looks to the audience.

Comment author: Lumifer 10 June 2016 02:21:09PM 1 point [-]

The rankings of insults in subcultures is a fascinating topic :-) What's the "r" word, redneck?

Comment author: Ixiel 09 June 2016 05:39:04PM *  0 points [-]

Yes, compared to not having a job. Working for a certain salary vs. getting that salary and not working.