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Lumifer comments on Buying happiness - Less Wrong Discussion
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But he thinks that "still worth cargo culting on the cheap and easy wins" which implies he believes the causation even if he's treating the mechanism as a black box.
I took his meaning to be: it's hard to figure out what causes what, but if X is associated with greater happiness and is easy to do, I might as well do X even though it might turn out it's a consequence rather than a cause.