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Yosarian2 comments on The map of future models - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: turchin 03 July 2016 01:17PM

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Comment author: Yosarian2 03 July 2016 07:59:00PM 1 point [-]

Yeah; don't underestimate slow but exponential growth, I would say that 3% a year growth is what really started at the start of the industrial revolution and why we've gotten as far as we have.

Personally I expect overall civilization wide exponential growth at some intermediate level for the next few decades faster than 3% but slower then Moore's law. Lot of uncertainty in there of course.