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Lumifer comments on Open Thread, Aug. 15. - Aug 21. 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: Elo 15 August 2016 12:26AM

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Comment author: turchin 17 August 2016 12:14:06AM 0 points [-]

Elon Musk almost terminated our simulation.

Simulation is a simulation only if everybody is convinced that they are living real life. Bostrom proved that we are most likely live in a simulation, but not much people know about it. Elon Musk tweeted that we live with probability 1000000 to 1 in simulation. Now everybody knows. I think that it was 1 per cent chance that our simulation will terminate after it. It has not happen this time, but there may be some other threshold after which it will be terminated, like finding more proves that we are in a simulation or creation of an AI.

Comment author: Viliam 17 August 2016 07:38:10AM 2 points [-]

On the other hand, the more "actions that would get the simulation terminated" we do and survive them, the higher the chance that we are actually not living in a simulation.

Comment author: turchin 17 August 2016 10:29:04AM 2 points [-]

Unfortunately anthropic bias prevents us from meaningful probability calculations in this case.