"When I was one-and-twenty / I heard a wise man say, / 'Give crowns and pounds and guineas / But not your heart away; / Give pearls away and rubies / But keep your fancy free.' / But I was one-and-twenty, / No use to talk to me."
My past year of completed writings, sorted by topic:
Genetics:
- Embryo selection for intelligence cost-benefit analysis
- meta-analysis of intelligence GCTAs, limits set by measurement error, current polygenic scores, possible gains with current IVF procedures, the benefits of selection on multiple complex traits, the possible annual value in the USA of selection & value of larger GWASes, societal consequences of various embryo selection scenarios, embryo count versus polygenic scores as limiting factors, comparison with iterated embryo selection, limits to total gains from iterated embryo selection etc.
- Wikipedia article on Genome-wide complex trait analysis (GCTA)
AI:
- Computational Complexity vs the Singularity
- Adding metadata to an RNN for mimicking individual author style
- Armstrong’s AI control problem:
Reinforce.js
demo
Biology:
Statistics:
- Candy Japan new packaging decision analysis
- “The Power of Twins: Revisiting Student’s Scottish Milk Experiment Example”
- Genius Revisited: Critiquing the Value of High IQ Elementary Schools
- Inferring mean ethnic IQs from very high IQ samples like TIP/SMPY
Cryptography:
Misc:
gwern.net
itself has remained largely stable (some CSS fixes and image size changes); I continue to use Patreon and send out my newsletters.
Do you have an opinion about whether Vitamin K2 should be used along with Vitamin D3 supplementation?
I happen to be working on that at the office. Here is a snapshot of the opinion landscape (all from PubMed):
Iwamoto J. Vitamin K₂ therapy for postmenopausal osteoporosis. Nutrients. 2014 May 16;6(5):1971-80.
DiNicolantonio JJ, Bhutani J, O'Keefe JH. The health benefits of vitamin K. Open Heart. 2015 Oct 6;2(1):e000300.
Huang ZB, Wan SL, Lu YJ, Ning L, Liu C, Fan SW. Does vitamin K2 play a role in the prevention and treatment of osteoporosis for postmenopausal women: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. Osteoporos Int. 2015 Mar;26(3):1175-86.
Falco... (read more)