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turchin comments on Agential Risks: A Topic that Almost No One is Talking About - Less Wrong Discussion

6 Post author: philosophytorres 15 October 2016 06:41PM

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Comment author: turchin 20 October 2016 09:00:44PM 0 points [-]

"Rogue country" is outside evaluative characteristic.

Lets try to define "rogue country" by its estimation-independent characteristics: 1) It is country which fight for world domination 2) It is a country which is interested in worldwide promotion of its (crazy) ideology (USSR, communism) 3) Its a country which survival is threatened by risks of aggression 4) It is a country which is ruled by crazy dictator.

I would like to say that superpowers is the type of "rogue countries", as they sometimes combine some of listed above properties.

The difference is mainly that we always had two (or three) superpowers which fight for the world domination. Sometimes one of them was on the first place and another one was challenging its position as world leader. The second superpower is more willing to create global risk, as it may rise it "status" or chances to overpower "alpha-superpower".

The topic is interesting, and there a lot what could be said on it including current political situation and even war in Syria. Just read an article today which explained this war from this point of view.