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Stuart_Armstrong comments on The Doomsday argument in anthropic decision theory - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 31 August 2017 01:44PM

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Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 02 September 2017 06:32:04PM *  1 point [-]

This is a good illustration of anthropic reasoning, but it's an illustration of the presumptuous philosopher, not of the DA (though they are symmetric in a sense). Here we have people saying "I expect to fail, but I will do it anyway because I hope others will succeed, and we all make the same decision". Hence it's the total utilitarian (who is the "SIAish" agent) who is acting against what seems to be the objective probabilities.