As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.
Happy New Year, Less Wrong!
How confident are you, that they are underconfident? Each one?
My estimates are 95% Riemann in a year, 97.5% GAI in a year
As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.
Happy New Year, Less Wrong!