As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.
Happy New Year, Less Wrong!
I would place the probability lower than that. -11 is a long way to come back from when the comment has already faded into history. Even if my upvote just moved it to -10 for the same reason. :)
As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.
Happy New Year, Less Wrong!