New Year's Predictions Thread (2011)

Kevin

As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.

Happy New Year, Less Wrong!

As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.

Happy New Year, Less Wrong!

@JoshuaZ, the number of servicemembers leaving due to DADT repeal will not be measured. The goverment won't ask, and won't tell.

Was that another prediction, or something the government has already confirmed?

I took it as a joke.

3Costanza15y

That would be a prediction, specifically applied to what the federal government will do or not do during 2011. With that said, I'd say human motivations are complicated. I could foresee, for instance the following motivations for leaving the military: Enlisted infantryman: [Subjective motivation]: I have failed ranger school in an embarrassing fashion. [Declared motivation for leaving the army]: A bunch of fags are running the show now. Infantry officer: [Subjective motivation]: A bunch of fags are running the show now. [Declared motivation]: I now wish to serve my country by pursuing public office.

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New Year's Predictions Thread (2011)

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New Year's Predictions Thread (2011)

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