Tetronian comments on You're in Newcomb's Box - LessWrong

40 Post author: HonoreDB 05 February 2011 08:46PM

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Comment author: datadataeverywhere 01 February 2011 04:02:35PM 3 points [-]

But you should only one-box if you think that the prediction of you one-boxing is tied to whether or not there is more money in the box.

In this case, as near as I can tell, Prometheus believes that you will one-box. Go ahead and two-box and collect the money. Unless we think Omega is lying, there's no reason to believe that one-boxing is superior in this problem.

Comment author: [deleted] 01 February 2011 05:36:03PM 3 points [-]

I agree, and I don't see why the problem needs to be difficult. Two-boxing is obviously the most profitable choice, and based on the way the problem is phrased it doesn't seem like you are prevented from two-boxing. If anything, your choice to two-box would merely suggest that Prometheus is more error-prone than Omega claimed.