wedrifid comments on Tendencies in reflective equilibrium - LessWrong
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I would call the other half of what you had to say the confusing part - liked the linked paper by the way. It's the 'but you need to save it for other possible muggings' would be straightforward game theory if the confusing part didn't happen before we even got to 'which mugger do we pay?' considerations.
I agree; that was just an intuition pump to demonstrate the absurdity of only considering one mugger.
EDIT: I think of this intuition pump as very persuasive because it is part of how I came to this conclusion in the first place.