wedrifid comments on Calibrate your self-assessments - LessWrong
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You should by now be aware that the claim (that I had previously assumed to be completely uncontroversial) is nothing to do with people at a particular training program (which related only to experiments with a solution) but rather with humanity in general. It isn't presented as the outcome of my own experiment but rather as a matter of both common and expert knowledge.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_anxiety_disorder
I took it as the social anxiety disorder if the anxiety leads to impaired ability to function. In social situations there's considerable loss of status from rejection, by the way, and the status is good for finding new mates, so I am entirely unconvinced that humanity in general suffers from some anxiety-impaired ability to function, especially given how the over-confidence hits an override on the anxiety, in the vast majority who haven't thought of explicitly calibrating themselves. edit: on top of that you are in the privileged 5% maybe for whom the loss from rejection is only having to try with someone else. Even in your country there's nonzero chance of getting beaten up from hitting on strangers. Everywhere else (outside first world) the chance is not even all that small.
It is not my claim that the entire population of the world has a clinically diagnosable anxiety disorder. That would be crazy (and given how 'disorder' is used, only a hop and a step away from outright oxymoronic).
I do maintain the things that I have actually stated.
Who's 'we' here anyway? Mankind? I'm sure >95% can get beaten up for hitting on strangers. 5% ? There's still the status loss from rejection.