Lots of people seem to expect human traits to coherently cause human behaviors,
LOL. (ok, more like I went "bwahahahaha.. seriously?") Wow. Yeah, I guess I can see why people might think that way, and I guess I must have thought that way at some point in the past. I can't think that fuzzily about people any more, I've spent too much time inspecting behavior at lower levels.
In other words, when I saw the big five, I simply assumed they were summaries of behavioral patterns, and that it'd be daft to treat them as really predicting anything.
That is, saying someone has one of the five traits doesn't explain anything, it just says, "this person is likely to do these things, because they've done these other things that seem to go together".
(Or at least, if the big five are claiming to do anything more than that, I'd certainly be skeptical.)
[Edited to add: I suspect the downvoters have confused my LOLling at an instance of Fundamental Attribution Error with LOLling at JenniferRM's comment. That is, they have probably failed to notice I am actually laughing with her, not at her.]
In other words, when I saw the big five, I simply assumed they were summaries of behavioral patterns, and that it'd be daft to treat them as really predicting anything.
Call me "daft", then, because I still don't get it. Does the "big five" model have any predictive power at all ? Does knowing the approximate position of a person in this five-dimensional space help us discover anything else about the person -- specifically, something that we can verify empirically ? I'm not singling out the "big five" model for criticism; I'...
Evolutionary psychologist Geoffrey Miller recently published Spent: Sex, Evolution, and Consumer Behavior, a book on signaling, psychology, and consumerism. It's very up LW's alley - it reads almost as if Robin Hanson had written a book. (Actually, Hanson has never published a book, has he? Has anyone ever seen them in the same place? Hm...)
Sam Synder has written an overview/summary of the book, which I can attest hits many of the interesting points. (I would also praise the pervasive humor, which kept it readable and furnish many good examples of the 'reversal test', and the exercises at the end of the book.)
Some of the most interesting chapters to me were the ones dealing with Openness, which one will remember was recently shown may be changeable by psychedelics - possibly the first such tweakable member of the Big Five, leading to the suggestion that it may be worth considering changing it. Hold this thought.
First, Miller discusses the signaling of Openness (starting on page 108 of the PDF, logical page 207):
Why is Openness negative at its extreme? (Miller has remarked before this in Spent that despite what one might think, one of the other 6 psychological traits he covers, IQ, essentially has no bad amount to have - you have to be in the top percentile before IQ starts being a potential negative, and much marketing is covertly appealing to people's desires to look smart.) On the potential biological negatives of novelty-seeking:
Recent research shows something very curious: group Openness inversely correlates with parasite load, even after controlling for all the obvious confounds like health and longevity. (I haven't looked up this research yet; he attributes it to "Corey Fincher and Randy Thornhill at University of New Mexico, and Mark Schaller and Damian Murray at University of British Columbia".)
Incidentally, a good deal of LW's userbase could be described as 'young adults'; and it does seem relatively rare for old people to become transhumanists, as opposed to young or very young people. The next step, some anthropological observations which certainly look as if they are costly signalling something:
The final step - applying this idea to us:
The weak correlation with IQ has the troubling implication - what happens when you are highly Open but not especially intelligent, and you are confronted with memes & products optimized on the free market?
I am a little troubled because as a child I was interested in such alternative things and the Occult as well - I seem to recognize this pattern in myself. My inner Hanson asks me, 'why are you so sure you aren't still mistaken and that you aren't so Open your mind finally fell out?'
A closing link: 'the valley of bad rationality'.