Comment on Fallacies as weak Bayesian evidence

Wed, 14 Mar 2012 15:31:36 GMT

If our prior for A is very low, then that implies that our estimate of P(S|notA) must be also be high, given that we do in fact observe the bible

What? That's an argument for P(S|¬A∧S) being high, not an argument for P(S|¬A) being high.

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